Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3159SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 3159 · PHX → ABQ
departs 9:46 PM MT · arrives 11:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
18%chance · ±2 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.