tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3171 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 3171 · SNA → PHX

departs 1:24 PM PT · arrives 2:50 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
21% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    79%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.