Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3194SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 3194 · STL → DFW
departs 8:38 AM CT · arrives 10:37 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
31%chance · ±9 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.