Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3233SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 3233 · XNA → PHX
departs 2:28 PM CT · arrives 3:21 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
18%chance · ±1 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.