Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3245SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 3245 · DFW → TPA
departs 9:35 AM CT · arrives 1:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
53%chance · ±8 pts+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.