Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3246SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 3246 · JFK → JAC
departs 10:00 AM ET · arrives 1:03 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 60h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JAC more than 15 minutes late?
18%chance · ±2 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JAC?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.