Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 407SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 407 · ANC → DFW
departs 7:00 AM AKT · arrives 4:42 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
33%chance · ±2 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.