Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 465SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 465 · MCO → ORD
departs 8:33 AM ET · arrives 10:38 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
12%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.