tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 475 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 475 · JFK → DFW

departs 6:30 AM ET · arrives 9:29 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±6 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.4d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DFW?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.