Schedule: FAA flight plans.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 478
IN THE AIR (OFF 11:56 AM ET, ETA 1:15 PM MT)
Today
AA 478 · PHL → PHX
took off 11:56 AM ET · expected to land 1:15 PM MT (scheduled 10:54 AM ET → 1:01 PM MT)
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
72%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
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How late will it get to PHX?
LIVE
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On time or early
28%
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15–30 min late
54%
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30 min–1 hour late
18%
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1–2 hours late
0%
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Over 2 hours late
0%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.