Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 546 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 546 · DFW → SAT

departs 7:55 PM CT · arrives 9:03 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±7 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 46% of the time recently

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.32 in

SAT (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 546 · DFW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?