Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 584SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 584 · TUS → DFW
departs 3:57 PM MT · arrives 8:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
37%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.