AA 743 · BCN → PHL

took off 3:03 PM CEST · landed 5:06 PM ET (scheduled 1:46 PM CEST → 4:30 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at BCN

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

BCN (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

PHL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 743 · BCN → PHL

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHL?