Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 767 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

AA 767 · DFW → SEA

departs 8:25 AM CT · arrives 10:50 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.35 in

SEA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 767 · DFW → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?