Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 777 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

AA 777 · DFW → LAS

departs 12:18 PM CT · arrives 1:06 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±5 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.32 in

LAS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 777 · DFW → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?