tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 781 LANDED 3:38 PM ET, ~36 MIN EARLY

AA 781 · NAP → PHL

took off 12:52 PM CEST · landed 3:38 PM ET (scheduled 12:48 PM CEST → 4:22 PM ET)
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±0 pts −22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 8h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to PHL?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.