Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 824SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 824 · PHL → LAX
departs 8:26 AM ET · arrives 11:14 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
9%chance · ±0 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.