AA 877 · BJX → DFW

departs 1:12 PM CST · arrives 4:49 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ 1pm departures from BJX are usually not late

Weather at each end

BJX (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DFW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 877 · BJX → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?