AA 952 · DFW → BZN

took off 9:48 AM CT · landed 11:32 AM MT (scheduled 9:03 AM CT → 11:18 AM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BZN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BZN

↓ BZN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.40 in

BZN (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 952 · DFW → BZN

Odds over time

How late did it get to BZN?