AA 9832 · PIT → PHL

took off 3:07 AM ET · landed 3:47 AM ET (scheduled 2:18 AM ET → 3:50 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 20h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 2am departures from PIT are usually not late

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 9832 · PIT → PHL

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHL?