Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1011SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1011 · ITO → HNL
departs 7:35 AM HT · arrives 8:29 AM HT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
8%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.