Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1021SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1021 · ITO → HNL
departs 9:26 AM HT · arrives 10:20 AM HT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±2 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.