Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1336 LANDED 10:34 PM AKT, ~19 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3

AS 1336 · SEA → ANC

took off 8:24 PM PT · landed 10:34 PM AKT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±3 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at SEA that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1336 · SEA → ANC

Odds over time