Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1394SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1394 · PDX → SAN
departs 10:46 AM PT · arrives 1:27 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
23%chance · ±4 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.