Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1405SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1405 · SNA → PDX
departs 10:57 AM PT · arrives 1:21 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±0 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.