AS 1415 · OGG → HNL

took off 10:49 AM HT · landed 11:04 AM HT (scheduled 10:09 AM HT → 10:59 AM HT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HNL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1415 · OGG → HNL

Odds over time

How late did it get to HNL?