Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1420SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1420 · PDX → IAH
departs 7:05 AM PT · arrives 1:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 51h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.