Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1458SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 1458 · SEA → LAS
departs 5:00 PM PT · arrives 7:35 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
31%chance · ±6 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.