AS 1468 · ANC → FAI

took off 12:44 PM AKT · landed 1:23 PM AKT (scheduled 12:51 PM AKT → 2:00 PM AKT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at FAI more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FAI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

↑ Other factors

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

↓ 12pm departures from ANC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FAI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1468 · ANC → FAI

Odds over time

How late did it get to FAI?