AS 1473 · HNL → SLC

took off 1:22 PM HT · landed 10:47 PM MT (scheduled 12:49 PM HT → 10:45 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SLC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from HNL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1473 · HNL → SLC

Odds over time

How late did it get to SLC?