Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1501 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

AS 1501 · ANC → BOS

departs 8:20 PM AKT · arrives 7:35 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from ANC are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1501 · ANC → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?