tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1551 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 1551 · SEA → SNA

departs 3:08 PM PT · arrives 5:56 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SNA?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.