AS 1643 · ADQ → ANC

departs 3:58 PM AKT · arrives 5:08 PM AKT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 47 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.9 in of rain forecast at ADQ that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

↓ ADQ usually runs smoothly

↓ ANC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ADQ (origin) Gusts47 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.89 in

ANC (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,267 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1643 · ADQ → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?