Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1643SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1643 · RNO → PDX
departs 8:00 AM PT · arrives 9:33 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±2 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.