Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 220SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 220 · SAN → LIH
departs 8:05 AM PT · arrives 11:28 AM HT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 61h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±0 pts−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.