Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 239 LANDED 3:00 PM MT, ~1 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

AS 239 · SNA → BOI

took off 12:23 PM PT · landed 3:00 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from SNA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOI (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 239 · SNA → BOI

Odds over time