Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 254SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 254 · SAN → OGG
departs 11:07 AM PT · arrives 2:12 PM HT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±0 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to OGG?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.