AS 257 · ANC → ADK

took off 11:07 AM AKT · landed 1:03 PM HDT (scheduled 11:15 AM AKT → 1:40 PM HDT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at ADK more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ADK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 51 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ADK that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

↓ ADK usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into ADK at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ADK (destination) Gusts51 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 257 · ANC → ADK

Odds over time

How late did it get to ADK?