Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2608 LANDED 4:45 PM HT, ~16 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

AS 2608 · ONT → HNL

took off 2:05 PM PT · landed 4:45 PM HT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from ONT are often late

↑ Arrivals into HNL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ONT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2608 · ONT → HNL

Odds over time