Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2627 LANDED 3:02 AM PT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

AS 2627 · CVG → PDX

took off 1:37 AM ET · landed 3:02 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 20h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2627 · CVG → PDX

Odds over time