Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 266SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 266 · KOA → SAN
departs 10:37 AM HT · arrives 7:02 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.