Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 272SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 272 · ANC → SEA
departs 3:43 PM AKT · arrives 8:17 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±0 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.