Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 280SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 280 · SEA → CMH
departs 10:12 PM PT · arrives 5:40 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 60h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.