AS 320 · BOI → SEA

took off 4:50 PM MT · landed 4:52 PM PT (scheduled 4:16 PM MT → 4:45 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOI (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 320 · BOI → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?