Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 393 LANDED 3:51 PM PT, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

AS 393 · SJC → PDX

took off 2:30 PM PT · landed 3:51 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from SJC are often late

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ This flight has been late 7% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 393 · SJC → PDX

Odds over time