tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 398 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 398 · SEA → IAH

departs 11:57 PM PT · arrives 6:20 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
26% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5.2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    73%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.