tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 422 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 422 · SEA → AUS

departs 9:05 AM PT · arrives 3:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
34% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 4.6d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to AUS?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    22%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.