AS 448 · SEA → GEG

took off 8:32 PM PT · landed 9:09 PM PT (scheduled 8:23 PM PT → 9:28 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to GEG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at SEA that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

GEG (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 448 · SEA → GEG

Odds over time

How late did it get to GEG?