AS 507 · SEA → MKE

took off 9:44 AM PT · landed 2:52 PM CT (scheduled 8:06 AM PT → 2:01 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MKE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

MKE (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling10,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 507 · SEA → MKE

Odds over time

How late did it get to MKE?