Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 55 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

AS 55 · ANC → SCC

departs 5:44 AM AKT · arrives 7:30 AM AKT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at SCC more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SCC?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SCC

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from ANC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SCC (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 55 · ANC → SCC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SCC?